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The Mind Games…

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TheIronLad
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Post  Pendrin Sun 30 Jun 2013, 14:06

So, I haven't really been very active recently, so to rectify this, I thought I'd pose some fiendish mind games for you. They're not too hard, just a bit odd, although they make sense in the end. So, here's the first one for you…

Imagine you are on a game show, and there are three doors. Behind one of the doors is a star prize - a car, but behind the other two doors are booby prizes - two goats. You are asked to pick one door at random. The host of the gameshow will then open one of the other two doors, revealing a goat. Before opening your door, you are then asked if you would like to stick with your current door, or switch to the other unopened door.
The choice is yours.
What do you do?

Post your thoughts below, and no cheating Razz
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Post  TheIronLad Sun 30 Jun 2013, 14:19

Stick to the one you've got because if you say you want to swap doors they may swap the prizes. So basically stick to what you pick Razz
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Post  Pendrin Sun 30 Jun 2013, 14:33

Stark-Boy wrote:Stick to the one you've got because if you say you want to swap doors they may swap the prizes. So basically stick to what you pick Razz
But what if you picked the booby prize all along and then missed out? Wink
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Post  TheIronLad Sun 30 Jun 2013, 16:14

Hmmm I didn't think of that Razz
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Post  Pendrin Sun 30 Jun 2013, 19:59

Anyone else have any thoughts on this problem? It's interesting to see how you all approach this…
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Post  DalekEmperor101 Sun 30 Jun 2013, 20:12

Choice a door. Stick with the door youve chosen. If you get the star prize, awesome. If you get a goat, free lawnmower Razz
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Post  Pendrin Sun 30 Jun 2013, 20:14

Interesting…

Looking at it from a mathematical perspective - do you think the chances of winning change depending on whether you stick or change? (hint hint Wink )
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Post  DalekEmperor101 Sun 30 Jun 2013, 20:16

Well if you look at it that way, you have a 3 to 1 chance. Is it a rock, paper scissors guess? 

Seriously, im not entirely sure. Ill think on that one Phoenix
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Post  Guest Sun 30 Jun 2013, 21:25


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Post  Pendrin Sun 30 Jun 2013, 22:20

Shh GC, no spoilers Razz

Anyway, I'm glad someone has researched their mind games Razz
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Post  AmyNoble Mon 01 Jul 2013, 14:20

Phoenix wrote:Interesting…

Looking at it from a mathematical perspective - do you think the chances of winning change depending on whether you stick or change? (hint hint Wink)

 
At first it'd be a 1 in 3 chance of you getting the star prize, but if you get to switch it then they is a 1 in 2 chance of you getting the star prize. What I'd do is probably choose door number 2 and hope it's the star prize because usually the one is the middle is the star prize. If I don't get the star prize from number 2 I'd probably try for another door because it's most likely I'll get the star prize. It's most likely done in a pattern but I'd just hope and pray I get the star prize Razz
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Post  VirtualDalek Mon 01 Jul 2013, 14:25

Ah yes, we did this in Maths once, same as what GC said. Razz
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Post  ImLokiAndIKnowIt Fri 26 Jul 2013, 20:58

I'd change. It's worth a go, after all. Besides, you could get goat cheese from the goat and sell it, making a business and some money for yourself. That money you could use to save up for the car.
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